论文标题:知识基础设施与城市竞争力关系的实证研究 Empirical Study on Relationships between Knowledge Infrastructure and Urban Competitiveness 论文作者 论文导师 马静,论文学位 硕士,论文专业 产业经济学 论文单位 南京航空航天大学,点击次数 13,论文页数 69页File Size662K 2007-01-01论文免费下载 http://paper.dic123.com/lunwen_106368312/ Urban Competitiveness;; Knowledge Infrastructure;; Cointegration test;; VEC model;; Forecast Variance Decomposition 长期以来,基础设施一直被认为是经济增长和社会发展的前提条件,而城市基础设施系统的结构状态和功能水平则直接影响着城市经济的增长速度与运行效率,基础设施竞争力成为城市竞争力的重要组成部分。随着知识经济的初显端倪,知识和信息成为城市经济发展的关键性资源,一个城市竞争力的高低就取决于这个城市能否及时、顺利且有效地实现知识的创造、共享和应用。本文以城市竞争力和知识基础设施的相关理论为出发点,对知识基础设施与城市竞争力的内在联系展开研究,并基于上海市1985-2005年样本区间数据对两者之间的数量关系进行了实证分析,以揭示知识基础设施对城市竞争力的作用效果,试图从完善知识基础设施建设的角度对提高城市竞争力的路径提出一些建议。 文章开篇介绍了选题背景与研究意义,明确了论文研究方法与创新点。第二部分回顾了国内外城市竞争力研究成果,为全文提供理论基础和理论支持。第三部分主要界定了知识基础设施含义与组成要素,同时对城市竞争力概念、影响要素以及与知识基础设施的关系进行了理论概括。在文章第四部分,介绍了实证研究模型并构建了评价指标体系。第五部分是论文的重点部分。在利用单位根对变量平稳性检验的基础上,应用协整模型检验了知识基础设施与上海城市竞争力的协整关系,并得出长期协整回归方程。在此基础上建立了描述上海城市竞争力短期动态变化的误差修正模型,并进行了预测方差分解。结果显示,知识基础设施各要素对城市竞争力存在短期的动态调整机制,同时各要素对城市竞争力的影响路径存在明显的差异性。 Infrastructure is continuously considered as prerequisite of economy growth and society development, and the condition and level of city infrastructure system are directly affecting speed and efficiency.of urban economy growth. Along with reveal of knowledge economy, knowledge and information have become the most important elements. So city development will depend on whether city carries on knowledge creation, sharing and application or not. As a result, knowledge infrastructure values a lot for urban competitiveness. Therefore under foundations of related theories, this article starts empirical research on relationships between knowledge infrastructure and Shanghai urban competitiveness within 1985-2005 year sample, and tries to give some suggestions to improve urban competitiveness from knowledge infrastructure perfection aspect. This article starts with topic background, research significance, and points out innovations, then reviews systematic summary to present research situation about urban competitiveness from home and abroad in the second part, Next, the paper defines knowledge infrastructure and its necessary factors, simultaneously urban competitiveness concept and influence factors as well, and summarizes their theory relations with the front contents. In the fourth part, it introduces measurement models to be used later and constructs appraisal index system on theory foundation. The fifth part is the core content, it analyses cointegraton relations between knowledge infrastructure and Shanghai city competitiveness on the base of variables stability by unit root test, and obtains long term balanced cointegration regression equation. Subsequently it establishes error correction models to describe short-term dynamic change and carries on forecast variance decomposition. The result shows, short-term dynamic alignment mechanism exists between knowledge infrastructure and urban competitiveness, meanwhile various factors generate obvious different influence way to city competitiveness.
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